Moodle, Beware Canvas! 20-Year Perspective In The US & Canada Higher Ed LMS Marketplace

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Moodle, Beware Canvas! 20-Year Perspective In The US & Canada Higher Ed LMS Marketplace | Años de Dominio Superior de Moodle en LMS de Código Abierto, Amenazados
A steady expansion over the past years has made Canvas’ campaign the most effective in the race for domination of the American and Canadian Higher Education LMS markets, according to a report by MindWires and LISTedTECH. Phil Hill, analyst and consultant for e-Literate and MindWires, announced the release of the report along with a few additional observations.
 
This year, an additional effort was made to draw the evolution in market share since 1998 until now. Back then, Blackboard was battling it out with WebCT for the top spot, with a hotly contested 50 active LMS site implementations. See the “squid” chart below:
 
Source: http://mfeldstein.com/state-higher-ed-lms-market-us-canada-spring-2017-edition/
(Click for larger size)
Moodle would enter the playing field in 2002, but a real “Open Source” revolution would only begin to unfold at the turn of the last decade with the introduction of Moodle-based Moodlerooms by Blackboard and the beginning of Canvas’ streak. Hill is the first to admit, however, that Canvas is not “open” in the same way Moodle is. Rather, it has an “Open Core” with full functionality under commercial licensing.
 
Despite the initial difficulty of understanding the chart’s perspective and units of measurement, it indicates the following ranking by the summer of 2017, according to either market share or number of installations:
  1. Blackboard
  2. Moodle
  3. Canvas
  4. Brightspace by D2L (formerly Desire2Learn)
  5. Sakai and others.
This year marks the end of the line for LearningStudio, Pearson’s LMS, as well as “homegrown” or “in-house” LMS developments, which apparently was a solo attempt by the University of Phoenix. On specific dynamics at play, Hill offers a few pointers:
  • Canvas has won the “Most new installations” honor every year since 2012. Considering its rate of adoption, and Moodle’s negative growth, Canvas’ advance to second place is all but confirmed.
  • Blackboard has kept steady, with a slight decline. It is unclear if the thick gray area in 2006 signals a peak year in market share or total installations. If history is any indications, a fresh wave of acquisitions by Blackboard looms near.
  • Within the “under 50 installations” category, Schoology is growing the most among lots of little LMS, none of which can be gauged from the chart.
The data processing and visualization are courtesy of MindWires, using datasets from the LISTedTECH subscription service up through April 2017. No information on data sources, quality, or methodologies is available at this time. Read the original release post by Hill at mfeldstein.com.
 

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